THE LINE · WEEK REPLAY

2025, week 9.Assessed before it was played.

We rebuilt the model from weeks 1–8 only — 121 completed games, nothing after — wrote down what it had to say about each week-9 matchup, and then opened the week to see whether those statements survived. Every scoreable week of 2025 is here; pick one from the chart below.

Week 9 games

121

Games the model saw

Statements checked

54.6%

Held, full season

Read this before the results

No prices are involved. Our line archive is append-only and begins on 29 July 2026, so there are no archived 2025 closes — and inventing them from another source would be exactly the fabricated data this product exists to refuse. Nothing here says whether a bet would have won.

This is not a third backtest. Two pre-registered attempts to beat NFL game markets both found no edge. That budget is only spent by comparing a forecast to a price, and this replay never sees one.

What it does measure: whether a statement like “this defense has allowed the 2nd-most receiving yards to receivers” was still true the following week — the defense staying on the same side of the league median.

Did the descriptions hold?

Week 9 alone

51.1%

23 of 45 statements

A single week is a few dozen statements — far too few to separate a real effect from one good or bad Sunday. It is shown beside the season figure, never instead of it.

All 14 weeks, 2025

54.6%

341 of 624 statements · 95% CI 50.7–58.5%

The interval clears 50, so the descriptions do carry week to week — but only just. A matchup note is a real tilt, not a reason to be confident.

How often each kind of statement holds

Every confidence percentage on THE LINE links here. It is not a win probability and not a projection — it is how often a statement of that exact class was still true the week after we made it, measured across all 624 scoreable statements of the 2025 season.

By claim

What a chip on a row is actually quoting. The classes are not equal, and until now the site showed one average for all of them.

“generous to WRs”

63/105 held · 95% CI 50.4–68.9

60%

“stingy against WRs”

57/107 held · 95% CI 43.9–62.4includes 50 — no measured edge

53.3%

“generous to TEs”

57/102 held · 95% CI 46.2–65.1includes 50 — no measured edge

55.9%

“stingy against TEs”

62/106 held · 95% CI 49–67.4includes 50 — no measured edge

58.5%

“generous to RBs”

48/100 held · 95% CI 38.5–57.7includes 50 — no measured edge

48%

“stingy against RBs”

54/104 held · 95% CI 42.4–61.3includes 50 — no measured edge

51.9%

By how strong the claim was

The calibration question: does a statement about the most extreme defense in the league hold up better than one about the eighth? Directionally yes — but read the intervals before believing it.

Top 3 in the league

135/234 held · 95% CI 51.3–63.8

57.7%

Ranked 4th–8th

206/390 held · 95% CI 47.9–57.7includes 50 — no measured edge

52.8%

The spread between our best and worst class is real: “generous to WRs” at 60% against “generous to RBs” at 48%. If you only trust one kind of matchup note here, trust the first.

Sharper claims did hold more often — 57.7% against 52.8% — but the two intervals overlap heavily, so we cannot claim that gap is real. It is reported because it is what we measured, not because it flatters the model.

A class whose 95% interval includes 50 is marked in amber and is not distinguishable from a coin flip. We leave those on the site, labelled, rather than quietly dropping the boards that produce them — a reliability table that only ever confirms the product is marketing.

Week by week — tap one to open it

Bars measured from 50%. Week 9 is open below — tap any bar to read that week in full. The default is week 6, one of the worst of the season, on purpose.

Every week-9 game

Each note is what the model would have said going in, with the sample size it rested on. the description still held that week · it did not · not scoreable (bye or no qualifying plays).

ARI27@

DAL17

Final

ARI · 61% pass · 0.001 EPA/play

61% pass · 0.145 EPA/play · DAL

DAL had allowed the 3rd-most receiving yards to WRs — good news for ARI.
through week 8 · 8 games · 172.3 rec yds/gm (league median 144.6)
Week 9: 157 allowed · league median 139
ARI had allowed the 5th-most receiving yards to TEs — good news for DAL.
through week 8 · 7 games · 68.7 rec yds/gm (league median 50.5)
Week 9: 64 allowed · league median 65
DAL had allowed the 7th-most rushing yards to RBs — good news for ARI.
through week 8 · 8 games · 110.9 rush yds/gm (league median 90.1)
Week 9: 106 allowed · league median 79

ATL23@

NE24

Final

ATL · 56% pass · -0.053 EPA/play

54% pass · 0.113 EPA/play · NE

NE had allowed the 2nd-most receiving yards to TEs — good news for ATL.
through week 8 · 7 games · 76.3 rec yds/gm (league median 50.5)
Week 9: 38 allowed · league median 65
ATL had allowed the 4th-fewest receiving yards to WRs — good news for NE.
through week 8 · 7 games · 121.6 rec yds/gm (league median 144.6)
Week 9: 147 allowed · league median 139
NE had allowed the 1st-fewest rushing yards to RBs — good news for ATL.
through week 8 · 8 games · 54 rush yds/gm (league median 90.1)
Week 9: 52 allowed · league median 79
ATL had allowed the 1st-fewest receiving yards to TEs — good news for NE.
through week 8 · 7 games · 15 rec yds/gm (league median 50.5)
Week 9: 71 allowed · league median 65

BAL28@

MIA6

Final

BAL · 54% pass · 0.002 EPA/play

60% pass · -0.012 EPA/play · MIA

MIA had allowed the 3rd-most rushing yards to RBs — good news for BAL.
through week 8 · 8 games · 117.9 rush yds/gm (league median 90.1)
Week 9: 132 allowed · league median 79
BAL had allowed the 8th-most receiving yards to TEs — good news for MIA.
through week 8 · 7 games · 62.9 rec yds/gm (league median 50.5)
Week 9: 49 allowed · league median 65
MIA had allowed the 1st-fewest receiving yards to WRs — good news for BAL.
through week 8 · 8 games · 106.9 rec yds/gm (league median 144.6)
Week 9: 77 allowed · league median 139

CAR16@

GB13

Final

CAR · 55% pass · -0.046 EPA/play

54% pass · 0.191 EPA/play · GB

CAR had allowed the 6th-most receiving yards to TEs — good news for GB.
through week 8 · 8 games · 66 rec yds/gm (league median 50.5)
Week 9: 54 allowed · league median 65
GB had allowed the 4th-fewest rushing yards to RBs — good news for CAR.
through week 8 · 7 games · 70.3 rush yds/gm (league median 90.1)
Week 9: 147 allowed · league median 79
CAR had allowed the 3rd-fewest receiving yards to WRs — good news for GB.
through week 8 · 8 games · 118.6 rec yds/gm (league median 144.6)
Week 9: 181 allowed · league median 139

CHI47@

CIN42

Final

CHI · 56% pass · 0.026 EPA/play

67% pass · -0.046 EPA/play · CIN

CIN had allowed the 1st-most rushing yards to RBs — good news for CHI.
through week 8 · 8 games · 132.1 rush yds/gm (league median 90.1)
Week 9: 213 allowed · league median 79
CIN had allowed the 3rd-most receiving yards to TEs — good news for CHI.
through week 8 · 8 games · 74.3 rec yds/gm (league median 50.5)
Week 9: 128 allowed · league median 65
CHI had allowed the 6th-most rushing yards to RBs — good news for CIN.
through week 8 · 7 games · 111.6 rush yds/gm (league median 90.1)
Week 9: 43 allowed · league median 79

DEN18@

HOU15

Final

DEN · 59% pass · 0.084 EPA/play

58% pass · 0.019 EPA/play · HOU

HOU had allowed the 6th-fewest receiving yards to TEs — good news for DEN.
through week 8 · 7 games · 38.4 rec yds/gm (league median 50.5)
Week 9: 25 allowed · league median 65
DEN had allowed the 5th-fewest receiving yards to WRs — good news for HOU.
through week 8 · 8 games · 128.3 rec yds/gm (league median 144.6)
Week 9: 135 allowed · league median 139

IND20@

PIT27

Final

IND · 56% pass · 0.241 EPA/play

59% pass · 0.060 EPA/play · PIT

PIT had allowed the 1st-most receiving yards to WRs — good news for IND.
through week 8 · 7 games · 182.6 rec yds/gm (league median 144.6)
Week 9: 294 allowed · league median 139
PIT had allowed the 1st-most receiving yards to TEs — good news for IND.
through week 8 · 7 games · 79.3 rec yds/gm (league median 50.5)
Week 9: 26 allowed · league median 65
IND had allowed the 4th-most receiving yards to WRs — good news for PIT.
through week 8 · 8 games · 170.4 rec yds/gm (league median 144.6)
Week 9: 66 allowed · league median 139
IND had allowed the 4th-most receiving yards to TEs — good news for PIT.
through week 8 · 8 games · 72.4 rec yds/gm (league median 50.5)
Week 9: 95 allowed · league median 65
IND had allowed the 8th-fewest rushing yards to RBs — good news for PIT.
through week 8 · 8 games · 75.5 rush yds/gm (league median 90.1)
Week 9: 34 allowed · league median 79

JAX30@

LV29

Final

JAX · 62% pass · -0.005 EPA/play

57% pass · -0.178 EPA/play · LV

LV had allowed the 7th-most receiving yards to WRs — good news for JAX.
through week 8 · 7 games · 162.3 rec yds/gm (league median 144.6)
Week 9: 185 allowed · league median 139
JAX had allowed the 5th-fewest rushing yards to RBs — good news for LV.
through week 8 · 7 games · 70.4 rush yds/gm (league median 90.1)
Week 9: 42 allowed · league median 79

KC21@

BUF28

Final

KC · 58% pass · 0.179 EPA/play

51% pass · 0.173 EPA/play · BUF

BUF had allowed the 5th-most rushing yards to RBs — good news for KC.
through week 8 · 7 games · 114.3 rush yds/gm (league median 90.1)
Week 9: 61 allowed · league median 79
KC had allowed the 7th-fewest rushing yards to RBs — good news for BUF.
through week 8 · 8 games · 72.1 rush yds/gm (league median 90.1)
Week 9: 122 allowed · league median 79
KC had allowed the 4th-fewest receiving yards to TEs — good news for BUF.
through week 8 · 8 games · 36.5 rec yds/gm (league median 50.5)
Week 9: 149 allowed · league median 65
BUF had allowed the 2nd-fewest receiving yards to TEs — good news for KC.
through week 8 · 7 games · 22 rec yds/gm (league median 50.5)
Week 9: 66 allowed · league median 65
KC had allowed the 2nd-fewest receiving yards to WRs — good news for BUF.
through week 8 · 8 games · 115.1 rec yds/gm (league median 144.6)
Week 9: 101 allowed · league median 139

LAC27@

TEN20

Final

LAC · 62% pass · 0.046 EPA/play

66% pass · -0.210 EPA/play · TEN

TEN had allowed the 2nd-most rushing yards to RBs — good news for LAC.
through week 8 · 8 games · 119.4 rush yds/gm (league median 90.1)
Week 9: 74 allowed · league median 79
TEN had allowed the 6th-most receiving yards to WRs — good news for LAC.
through week 8 · 8 games · 162.4 rec yds/gm (league median 144.6)
Week 9: 168 allowed · league median 139
TEN had allowed the 8th-fewest receiving yards to TEs — good news for LAC.
through week 8 · 8 games · 43.4 rec yds/gm (league median 50.5)
Week 9: 80 allowed · league median 65
LAC had allowed the 7th-fewest receiving yards to WRs — good news for TEN.
through week 8 · 8 games · 132.3 rec yds/gm (league median 144.6)
Week 9: 72 allowed · league median 139
LAC had allowed the 5th-fewest receiving yards to TEs — good news for TEN.
through week 8 · 8 games · 37.8 rec yds/gm (league median 50.5)
Week 9: 25 allowed · league median 65

MIN27@

DET24

Final

MIN · 62% pass · -0.108 EPA/play

52% pass · 0.119 EPA/play · DET

MIN had allowed the 8th-fewest receiving yards to WRs — good news for DET.
through week 8 · 7 games · 132.4 rec yds/gm (league median 144.6)
Week 9: 163 allowed · league median 139
DET had allowed the 3rd-fewest rushing yards to RBs — good news for MIN.
through week 8 · 7 games · 65.9 rush yds/gm (league median 90.1)
Week 9: 114 allowed · league median 79

NO10@

LA34

Final

NO · 61% pass · -0.140 EPA/play

61% pass · 0.074 EPA/play · LA

LA had allowed the 8th-most receiving yards to WRs — good news for NO.
through week 8 · 7 games · 161.1 rec yds/gm (league median 144.6)
Week 9: 141 allowed · league median 139
LA had allowed the 7th-fewest receiving yards to TEs — good news for NO.
through week 8 · 7 games · 43 rec yds/gm (league median 50.5)
Week 9: 31 allowed · league median 65
NO had allowed the 6th-fewest receiving yards to WRs — good news for LA.
through week 8 · 8 games · 131.6 rec yds/gm (league median 144.6)
Week 9: 167 allowed · league median 139

SEA38@

WAS14

Final

SEA · 51% pass · 0.028 EPA/play

55% pass · 0.017 EPA/play · WAS

WAS had allowed the 5th-most receiving yards to WRs — good news for SEA.
through week 8 · 8 games · 163.1 rec yds/gm (league median 144.6)
Week 9: 237 allowed · league median 139
SEA had allowed the 7th-most receiving yards to TEs — good news for WAS.
through week 8 · 7 games · 63.4 rec yds/gm (league median 50.5)
Week 9: 66 allowed · league median 65
SEA had allowed the 2nd-fewest rushing yards to RBs — good news for WAS.
through week 8 · 7 games · 57.4 rush yds/gm (league median 90.1)
Week 9: 103 allowed · league median 79

SF34@

NYG24

Final

SF · 61% pass · 0.016 EPA/play

55% pass · -0.033 EPA/play · NYG

NYG had allowed the 2nd-most receiving yards to WRs — good news for SF.
through week 8 · 8 games · 174.3 rec yds/gm (league median 144.6)
Week 9: 115 allowed · league median 139
NYG had allowed the 4th-most rushing yards to RBs — good news for SF.
through week 8 · 8 games · 116.3 rush yds/gm (league median 90.1)
Week 9: 159 allowed · league median 79

This is the whole product, on real football: context you can check, with its sample size attached, and no claim we haven’t measured. When the 2026 season starts, the same notes appear on the matchup pages — beside a line archive that records what the price did.

See this season’s matchups

Read this before the results

This is not a third backtest. Two pre-registered attempts to beat NFL game markets both found no edge. That budget is only spent by comparing a forecast to a price, and this replay never sees one.

Did the descriptions hold?

Week 9 alone

51.1%

23 of 45 statements

A single week is a few dozen statements — far too few to separate a real effect from one good or bad Sunday. It is shown beside the season figure, never instead of it.

All 14 weeks, 2025

54.6%

341 of 624 statements · 95% CI 50.7–58.5%

The interval clears 50, so the descriptions do carry week to week — but only just. A matchup note is a real tilt, not a reason to be confident.

How often each kind of statement holds

By claim

What a chip on a row is actually quoting. The classes are not equal, and until now the site showed one average for all of them.

“generous to WRs”

63/105 held · 95% CI 50.4–68.9

60%

“stingy against WRs”

57/107 held · 95% CI 43.9–62.4includes 50 — no measured edge

53.3%

“generous to TEs”

57/102 held · 95% CI 46.2–65.1includes 50 — no measured edge

55.9%

“stingy against TEs”

62/106 held · 95% CI 49–67.4includes 50 — no measured edge

58.5%

“generous to RBs”

48/100 held · 95% CI 38.5–57.7includes 50 — no measured edge

48%

“stingy against RBs”

54/104 held · 95% CI 42.4–61.3includes 50 — no measured edge

51.9%

By how strong the claim was

The calibration question: does a statement about the most extreme defense in the league hold up better than one about the eighth? Directionally yes — but read the intervals before believing it.

Top 3 in the league

135/234 held · 95% CI 51.3–63.8

57.7%

Ranked 4th–8th

206/390 held · 95% CI 47.9–57.7includes 50 — no measured edge

52.8%

The spread between our best and worst class is real: “generous to WRs” at 60% against “generous to RBs” at 48%. If you only trust one kind of matchup note here, trust the first.

Week by week — tap one to open it

Bars measured from 50%. Week 9 is open below — tap any bar to read that week in full. The default is week 6, one of the worst of the season, on purpose.

Every week-9 game

Each note is what the model would have said going in, with the sample size it rested on. the description still held that week · it did not · not scoreable (bye or no qualifying plays).

ARI27@

DAL17

Final

ARI · 61% pass · 0.001 EPA/play

61% pass · 0.145 EPA/play · DAL

DAL had allowed the 3rd-most receiving yards to WRs — good news for ARI.
through week 8 · 8 games · 172.3 rec yds/gm (league median 144.6)
Week 9: 157 allowed · league median 139
ARI had allowed the 5th-most receiving yards to TEs — good news for DAL.
through week 8 · 7 games · 68.7 rec yds/gm (league median 50.5)
Week 9: 64 allowed · league median 65
DAL had allowed the 7th-most rushing yards to RBs — good news for ARI.
through week 8 · 8 games · 110.9 rush yds/gm (league median 90.1)
Week 9: 106 allowed · league median 79

ATL23@

NE24

Final

ATL · 56% pass · -0.053 EPA/play

54% pass · 0.113 EPA/play · NE

NE had allowed the 2nd-most receiving yards to TEs — good news for ATL.
through week 8 · 7 games · 76.3 rec yds/gm (league median 50.5)
Week 9: 38 allowed · league median 65
ATL had allowed the 4th-fewest receiving yards to WRs — good news for NE.
through week 8 · 7 games · 121.6 rec yds/gm (league median 144.6)
Week 9: 147 allowed · league median 139
NE had allowed the 1st-fewest rushing yards to RBs — good news for ATL.
through week 8 · 8 games · 54 rush yds/gm (league median 90.1)
Week 9: 52 allowed · league median 79
ATL had allowed the 1st-fewest receiving yards to TEs — good news for NE.
through week 8 · 7 games · 15 rec yds/gm (league median 50.5)
Week 9: 71 allowed · league median 65

BAL28@

MIA6

Final

BAL · 54% pass · 0.002 EPA/play

60% pass · -0.012 EPA/play · MIA

MIA had allowed the 3rd-most rushing yards to RBs — good news for BAL.
through week 8 · 8 games · 117.9 rush yds/gm (league median 90.1)
Week 9: 132 allowed · league median 79
BAL had allowed the 8th-most receiving yards to TEs — good news for MIA.
through week 8 · 7 games · 62.9 rec yds/gm (league median 50.5)
Week 9: 49 allowed · league median 65
MIA had allowed the 1st-fewest receiving yards to WRs — good news for BAL.
through week 8 · 8 games · 106.9 rec yds/gm (league median 144.6)
Week 9: 77 allowed · league median 139

CAR16@

GB13

Final

CAR · 55% pass · -0.046 EPA/play

54% pass · 0.191 EPA/play · GB

CAR had allowed the 6th-most receiving yards to TEs — good news for GB.
through week 8 · 8 games · 66 rec yds/gm (league median 50.5)
Week 9: 54 allowed · league median 65
GB had allowed the 4th-fewest rushing yards to RBs — good news for CAR.
through week 8 · 7 games · 70.3 rush yds/gm (league median 90.1)
Week 9: 147 allowed · league median 79
CAR had allowed the 3rd-fewest receiving yards to WRs — good news for GB.
through week 8 · 8 games · 118.6 rec yds/gm (league median 144.6)
Week 9: 181 allowed · league median 139

CHI47@

CIN42

Final

CHI · 56% pass · 0.026 EPA/play

67% pass · -0.046 EPA/play · CIN

CIN had allowed the 1st-most rushing yards to RBs — good news for CHI.
through week 8 · 8 games · 132.1 rush yds/gm (league median 90.1)
Week 9: 213 allowed · league median 79
CIN had allowed the 3rd-most receiving yards to TEs — good news for CHI.
through week 8 · 8 games · 74.3 rec yds/gm (league median 50.5)
Week 9: 128 allowed · league median 65
CHI had allowed the 6th-most rushing yards to RBs — good news for CIN.
through week 8 · 7 games · 111.6 rush yds/gm (league median 90.1)
Week 9: 43 allowed · league median 79

DEN18@

HOU15

Final

DEN · 59% pass · 0.084 EPA/play

58% pass · 0.019 EPA/play · HOU

HOU had allowed the 6th-fewest receiving yards to TEs — good news for DEN.
through week 8 · 7 games · 38.4 rec yds/gm (league median 50.5)
Week 9: 25 allowed · league median 65
DEN had allowed the 5th-fewest receiving yards to WRs — good news for HOU.
through week 8 · 8 games · 128.3 rec yds/gm (league median 144.6)
Week 9: 135 allowed · league median 139

IND20@

PIT27

Final

IND · 56% pass · 0.241 EPA/play

59% pass · 0.060 EPA/play · PIT

PIT had allowed the 1st-most receiving yards to WRs — good news for IND.
through week 8 · 7 games · 182.6 rec yds/gm (league median 144.6)
Week 9: 294 allowed · league median 139
PIT had allowed the 1st-most receiving yards to TEs — good news for IND.
through week 8 · 7 games · 79.3 rec yds/gm (league median 50.5)
Week 9: 26 allowed · league median 65
IND had allowed the 4th-most receiving yards to WRs — good news for PIT.
through week 8 · 8 games · 170.4 rec yds/gm (league median 144.6)
Week 9: 66 allowed · league median 139
IND had allowed the 4th-most receiving yards to TEs — good news for PIT.
through week 8 · 8 games · 72.4 rec yds/gm (league median 50.5)
Week 9: 95 allowed · league median 65
IND had allowed the 8th-fewest rushing yards to RBs — good news for PIT.
through week 8 · 8 games · 75.5 rush yds/gm (league median 90.1)
Week 9: 34 allowed · league median 79

JAX30@

LV29

Final

JAX · 62% pass · -0.005 EPA/play

57% pass · -0.178 EPA/play · LV

LV had allowed the 7th-most receiving yards to WRs — good news for JAX.
through week 8 · 7 games · 162.3 rec yds/gm (league median 144.6)
Week 9: 185 allowed · league median 139
JAX had allowed the 5th-fewest rushing yards to RBs — good news for LV.
through week 8 · 7 games · 70.4 rush yds/gm (league median 90.1)
Week 9: 42 allowed · league median 79

KC21@

BUF28

Final

KC · 58% pass · 0.179 EPA/play

51% pass · 0.173 EPA/play · BUF

BUF had allowed the 5th-most rushing yards to RBs — good news for KC.
through week 8 · 7 games · 114.3 rush yds/gm (league median 90.1)
Week 9: 61 allowed · league median 79
KC had allowed the 7th-fewest rushing yards to RBs — good news for BUF.
through week 8 · 8 games · 72.1 rush yds/gm (league median 90.1)
Week 9: 122 allowed · league median 79
KC had allowed the 4th-fewest receiving yards to TEs — good news for BUF.
through week 8 · 8 games · 36.5 rec yds/gm (league median 50.5)
Week 9: 149 allowed · league median 65
BUF had allowed the 2nd-fewest receiving yards to TEs — good news for KC.
through week 8 · 7 games · 22 rec yds/gm (league median 50.5)
Week 9: 66 allowed · league median 65
KC had allowed the 2nd-fewest receiving yards to WRs — good news for BUF.
through week 8 · 8 games · 115.1 rec yds/gm (league median 144.6)
Week 9: 101 allowed · league median 139

LAC27@

TEN20

Final

LAC · 62% pass · 0.046 EPA/play

66% pass · -0.210 EPA/play · TEN

TEN had allowed the 2nd-most rushing yards to RBs — good news for LAC.
through week 8 · 8 games · 119.4 rush yds/gm (league median 90.1)
Week 9: 74 allowed · league median 79
TEN had allowed the 6th-most receiving yards to WRs — good news for LAC.
through week 8 · 8 games · 162.4 rec yds/gm (league median 144.6)
Week 9: 168 allowed · league median 139
TEN had allowed the 8th-fewest receiving yards to TEs — good news for LAC.
through week 8 · 8 games · 43.4 rec yds/gm (league median 50.5)
Week 9: 80 allowed · league median 65
LAC had allowed the 7th-fewest receiving yards to WRs — good news for TEN.
through week 8 · 8 games · 132.3 rec yds/gm (league median 144.6)
Week 9: 72 allowed · league median 139
LAC had allowed the 5th-fewest receiving yards to TEs — good news for TEN.
through week 8 · 8 games · 37.8 rec yds/gm (league median 50.5)
Week 9: 25 allowed · league median 65

MIN27@

DET24

Final

MIN · 62% pass · -0.108 EPA/play

52% pass · 0.119 EPA/play · DET

MIN had allowed the 8th-fewest receiving yards to WRs — good news for DET.
through week 8 · 7 games · 132.4 rec yds/gm (league median 144.6)
Week 9: 163 allowed · league median 139
DET had allowed the 3rd-fewest rushing yards to RBs — good news for MIN.
through week 8 · 7 games · 65.9 rush yds/gm (league median 90.1)
Week 9: 114 allowed · league median 79

NO10@

LA34

Final

NO · 61% pass · -0.140 EPA/play

61% pass · 0.074 EPA/play · LA

LA had allowed the 8th-most receiving yards to WRs — good news for NO.
through week 8 · 7 games · 161.1 rec yds/gm (league median 144.6)
Week 9: 141 allowed · league median 139
LA had allowed the 7th-fewest receiving yards to TEs — good news for NO.
through week 8 · 7 games · 43 rec yds/gm (league median 50.5)
Week 9: 31 allowed · league median 65
NO had allowed the 6th-fewest receiving yards to WRs — good news for LA.
through week 8 · 8 games · 131.6 rec yds/gm (league median 144.6)
Week 9: 167 allowed · league median 139

SEA38@

WAS14

Final

SEA · 51% pass · 0.028 EPA/play

55% pass · 0.017 EPA/play · WAS

WAS had allowed the 5th-most receiving yards to WRs — good news for SEA.
through week 8 · 8 games · 163.1 rec yds/gm (league median 144.6)
Week 9: 237 allowed · league median 139
SEA had allowed the 7th-most receiving yards to TEs — good news for WAS.
through week 8 · 7 games · 63.4 rec yds/gm (league median 50.5)
Week 9: 66 allowed · league median 65
SEA had allowed the 2nd-fewest rushing yards to RBs — good news for WAS.
through week 8 · 7 games · 57.4 rush yds/gm (league median 90.1)
Week 9: 103 allowed · league median 79

SF34@

NYG24

Final

SF · 61% pass · 0.016 EPA/play

55% pass · -0.033 EPA/play · NYG

NYG had allowed the 2nd-most receiving yards to WRs — good news for SF.
through week 8 · 8 games · 174.3 rec yds/gm (league median 144.6)
Week 9: 115 allowed · league median 139
NYG had allowed the 4th-most rushing yards to RBs — good news for SF.
through week 8 · 8 games · 116.3 rush yds/gm (league median 90.1)
Week 9: 159 allowed · league median 79