SALCI ANALYTICS · NFL
The line moves.We wrote it down.
Every NFL price, from the moment it opens to the moment it closes — appended, never edited. We don’t tell you who wins. We tell you whether you got a good price.
272
Games tracked
168,609
Prices archived
81
Days of history
2
Books compared
A line has a life.
We write down all of it.
01OPEN
The number appears
Books post the week ahead. We record the first price we ever see, and that opener is never edited again.
02MOVE
Six days of drift
Every reprice is appended, never overwritten. Key numbers — 3, 7, 10 — get crossed, and we can show you exactly when.
03CLOSE
Kickoff freezes it
The last price before kickoff is the close. Kickoff comes from the league, never from a bookmaker’s clock.
04GRADE
Your price, scored
Log a bet in one tap and we grade it against that close. Not whether you won — whether you were right to take it.
2026 · WEEK 6
This week, as it moved
Thu 9 PM-4.5
CROSSED 32 pt gap · best DEN -4.5 at DraftKings
The read — Favourites of 4.5 covered 127 of 254 games since 1999.
Market (no-vig): SEA 26% · DEN 74%
5 reprices at DraftKings since it opened — the favourite changed sides. Half of it was in by Thu 9 PM.
-4.5
Spread -7
37.5
Total -6
+265 / -370
ML · SEA / DEN
Sun 1 PM+2.5
0.5 from 34 pt gap · best JAX +2.5 at FanDuel
The read — The final margin was exactly 3 in 1,046 of 6,967 games — 15.0%.
Market (no-vig): HOU 49% · JAX 51%
6 reprices at FanDuel since it opened — the favourite changed sides. Half of it was in by Wed 2 AM.
+2.5
Spread +4
65.5
Total +23
-108 / -118
ML · HOU / JAX
Sun 4 PM+5.5
CROSSED 3
The read — Favourites of 5.5 covered 125 of 275 games since 1999.
Market (no-vig): CAR 85% · PHI 15%
11 reprices at DraftKings since it opened — the favourite changed sides. Half of it was in by Wed 2 PM.
+5.5
Spread +12
39.5
Total -4
-901 / +520
ML · CAR / PHI
Sun 4 PM+7.5
CROSSED 70.5 from 71 pt gap · best ATL +7.5 at DraftKings
The read — The final margin was exactly 7 in 634 of 6,967 games — 9.1%.
Market (no-vig): CHI 91% · ATL 9%
10 reprices at DraftKings since it opened — the favourite is 4.5 points bigger than at the open. Half of it was in by Sun 2 PM.
+7.5
Spread +4.5
57.5
Total +10
-2500 / +900
ML · CHI / ATL
THE LEAGUE
Every team. Every player.
Every number.
“Most bettors don’t lose on opinions.
They lose on price.”
Wrong side of a key number, wrong book, wrong day of the week. All three are measurable. None of them require predicting a football game — which is why this is what we built.
Start with this week