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SALCI ANALYTICS · NFL

The line moves.We wrote it down.

Every NFL price, from the moment it opens to the moment it closes — appended, never edited. We don’t tell you who wins. We tell you whether you got a good price.

See this weekGrade my bets
179
Games tracked
24,550
Prices archived
36
Days of history
2
Books compared

A line has a life.
We write down all of it.

01OPEN

The number appears

Books post the week ahead. We record the first price we ever see, and that opener is never edited again.

02MOVE

Six days of drift

Every reprice is appended, never overwritten. Key numbers — 3, 7, 10 — get crossed, and we can show you exactly when.

03CLOSE

Kickoff freezes it

The last price before kickoff is the close. Kickoff comes from the league, never from a bookmaker’s clock.

04GRADE

Your price, scored

Log a bet in one tap and we grade it against that close. Not whether you won — whether you were right to take it.

2026 · WEEK 1

This week, as it moved

All 16 games
NE @ SEA
Wed 8:20 PM
-3.5
Spread
75.5
Total +31
+154 / -185
ML · NE / SEA
Opened here — no move recorded yet
0.5 from 331 pt gap · best SEA -3.5 at DraftKings

The read — The final margin was exactly 3 in 1,046 of 6,967 games — 15.0%.

Market (no-vig): NE 38% · SEA 62%

-3.5
Spread
75.5
Total +31
+154 / -185
ML · NE / SEA
SF @ LAR
Thu 8:35 PM
-3.5
Spread
77.5
Total +28
+164 / -196
ML · SF / LAR
Opened here — no move recorded yet
0.5 from 329 pt gap · best LAR -3.5 at DraftKings

The read — Favourites of 3.5 covered 325 of 656 games since 1999.

Market (no-vig): SF 36% · LAR 64%

-3.5
Spread
77.5
Total +28
+164 / -196
ML · SF / LAR
TB @ CIN
Sun 1:00 PM
-3.5
Spread
81.5
Total +30
+170 / -208
ML · TB / CIN
Opened here — no move recorded yet
0.5 from 330 pt gap · best CIN -3.5 at DraftKings

Market (no-vig): TB 35% · CIN 65%

-3.5
Spread
81.5
Total +30
+170 / -208
ML · TB / CIN
NO @ DET
Sun 1:00 PM
-6.5
Spread +0.5
79.5
Total +31
+245 / -312
ML · NO / DET
7
Mon 2 AM-6.5
0.5 from 70.5 pt gap · best DET -6.5 at FanDuel

The read — The final margin was exactly 7 in 634 of 6,967 games — 9.1%.

Market (no-vig): NO 28% · DET 72%

3 reprices at FanDuel since it opened — the favourite is 0.5 points smaller than at the open. Half of it was in by Sun 8 PM.

-6.5
Spread +0.5
79.5
Total +31
+245 / -312
ML · NO / DET
THE LEAGUE

Every team. Every player.
Every number.

ARIATLBALBUFCARCHICINCLEDALDENDETGBHOUINDJAXKCAll 32

Passing Yards

All leaders
  1. 1Matthew StaffordMatthew StaffordLAR4707
  2. 2Jared GoffJared GoffDET4564
  3. 3Dak PrescottDak PrescottDAL4552
  4. 4Drake MayeDrake MayeNE4394
  5. 5Sam DarnoldSam DarnoldSEA4048
  6. 6Trevor LawrenceTrevor LawrenceJAX4007

“Most bettors don’t lose on opinions.
They lose on price.”

Wrong side of a key number, wrong book, wrong day of the week. All three are measurable. None of them require predicting a football game — which is why this is what we built.

Start with this week