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The week

The plays

Every play we have published, in full. These are execution calls — the best available number, or a half point on the right side of a key number — not predictions about who covers. We looked for an edge on NFL sides twice, pre-registered both times, and did not find one.

No plays have settled yet.

The record starts empty and stays public from here — including the weeks it goes the wrong way. Nothing on this page is backfilled or simulated.

Every number we publish, including the models we killed