Week 17
Los Angeles RamsatTampa Bay Buccaneers
Sunday, Jan 3, 12:00 AM ET
Opened
—
Now
—
Unmoved
Total
—
Prices archived
0
0 spread · 0 total
Head to head
Matthew Stafford · LAQB Index componentsBaker Mayfield · TB
65 · B+
Index
28 · F40.5
Attempts / gm
32.03.6%
Sacked
11.9%share of dropbacks
61.1%
Completion
63.5%7.3
Yards / att
6.4381.3
Air yards / gm
284.00.080
EPA / dropback
-0.274+0.1
CPOE
+1.1completion % over expected
Every row is a rate measured over games already played, never a probability — the same components behind each quarterback's Index below. Our passing model failed its calibration test; we publish that on the accuracy page.
LAR skill corpswho they faceTB skill corps
105.8
Receivers
106.3yds/gm allowed · vs TB / vs LAR
Davante Adams24.4% target share · 18.3 PPR last 4
Puka Nacua13.5% target share · 20.1 PPR last 2
Konata Mumpfield9.0% target share · 5.8 PPR last 4
QB Index · vs TB
Matthew Stafford
LA · 4 games, 162 attempts
65
index
B+
Volumeweight 0.40
3rd of 30
40.5 attempts per game · team runs 68 plays at 61% pass · sacked on 3.6% of dropbacks
Efficiencyweight 0.35
16th of 30
7.3 yards per attempt · 61.1% completions · 0.080 EPA per dropback
Matchupweight 0.25
19th of 32
TB has allowed 6.9 yards per attempt across 4 games
≈ 292 yards
The spread, hour by hour
Home handicap. Dashed rules are the key numbers.
No prices archived for this market yet.
The total
Over line.
No prices archived for this market yet.
Player props
The books haven't posted player props for this game yet — normal this far out. The archive is already watching for them: the moment a price appears it is captured, kept forever, and becomes loggable here.
When they land you'll get the same book you get on the game lines — closing-line value, a letter grade and a good-bet verdict on every prop you log. No projections: our prop model failed its own pre-registered calibration gate, and we don't ship numbers that failed.
Every point above is a price we observed and stored, with the time we saw it. Nothing on this page is a prediction, a rating, or a recommended bet.
