Week 16
Washington CommandersatMinnesota Vikings
Sunday, Dec 27, 12:00 AM ET
Opened
—
Now
—
Unmoved
Total
—
Prices archived
0
0 spread · 0 total
Head to head
Jayden Daniels · WASQB Index componentsKyler Murray · MIN
25 · F
Index
34 · F25.3
Attempts / gm
25.37.3%
Sacked
8.2%share of dropbacks
60.5%
Completion
68.3%6.0
Yards / att
6.6224.3
Air yards / gm
158.50.021
EPA / dropback
-0.076+2.7
CPOE
+5.4completion % over expected
Every row is a rate measured over games already played, never a probability — the same components behind each quarterback's Index below. Our passing model failed its calibration test; we publish that on the accuracy page.
WSH skill corpswho they faceMIN skill corps
132.8
Receivers
164.2yds/gm allowed · vs MIN / vs WSH
Stefon Diggs20.1% target share · 13.3 PPR last 4
Terry McLaurin17.5% target share · 10.6 PPR last 4
Antonio Williams14.3% target share · 5 PPR last 4
QB Index · vs MIN
Jayden Daniels
WAS · 3 games, 76 attempts
25
index
F
Volumeweight 0.40
29th of 34
25.3 attempts per game · team runs 62 plays at 52% pass · sacked on 7.3% of dropbacks
Efficiencyweight 0.35
20th of 34
6.0 yards per attempt · 60.5% completions · 0.021 EPA per dropback
Matchupweight 0.25
26th of 32
MIN has allowed 6.3 yards per attempt across 5 games
≈ 181 yards
The spread, hour by hour
Home handicap. Dashed rules are the key numbers.
No prices archived for this market yet.
The total
Over line.
No prices archived for this market yet.
Player props
The books haven't posted player props for this game yet — normal this far out. The archive is already watching for them: the moment a price appears it is captured, kept forever, and becomes loggable here.
When they land you'll get the same book you get on the game lines — closing-line value, a letter grade and a good-bet verdict on every prop you log. No projections: our prop model failed its own pre-registered calibration gate, and we don't ship numbers that failed.
Every point above is a price we observed and stored, with the time we saw it. Nothing on this page is a prediction, a rating, or a recommended bet.
