Week 16
Tennessee TitansatLas Vegas Raiders
Sunday, Dec 27, 4:05 PM ET
Opened
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Now
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Unmoved
Total
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Prices archived
0
0 spread · 0 total
Head to head
Cam Ward · TENQB Index componentsKirk Cousins · LV
51 · C
Index
70 · A31.0
Attempts / gm
34.46.1%
Sacked
4.4%share of dropbacks
63.2%
Completion
65.1%5.8
Yards / att
7.4215.8
Air yards / gm
282.0-0.185
EPA / dropback
0.191+2.3
CPOE
+1.9completion % over expected
Every row is a rate measured over games already played, never a probability — the same components behind each quarterback's Index below. Our passing model failed its calibration test; we publish that on the accuracy page.
TEN skill corpswho they faceLV skill corps
169.6
Receivers
173.6yds/gm allowed · vs LV / vs TEN
statements like this held next week 54.6%· CI 50.7–58.5
Carnell Tate25.7% target share · 10.2 PPR last 4
Wan'Dale Robinson20.8% target share · 10.7 PPR last 4
Elic Ayomanor8.3% target share · 4.2 PPR last 4
QB Index · vs LV
Cam Ward
TEN · 5 games, 155 attempts
51
index
C
Volumeweight 0.40
17th of 34
31.0 attempts per game · team runs 53 plays at 59% pass · sacked on 6.1% of dropbacks
Efficiencyweight 0.35
26th of 34
5.8 yards per attempt · 63.2% completions · -0.185 EPA per dropback
Matchupweight 0.25
5th of 32
LV has allowed 7.9 yards per attempt across 5 games
≈ 168 yards
The spread, hour by hour
Home handicap. Dashed rules are the key numbers.
No prices archived for this market yet.
The total
Over line.
No prices archived for this market yet.
Player props
The books haven't posted player props for this game yet — normal this far out. The archive is already watching for them: the moment a price appears it is captured, kept forever, and becomes loggable here.
When they land you'll get the same book you get on the game lines — closing-line value, a letter grade and a good-bet verdict on every prop you log. No projections: our prop model failed its own pre-registered calibration gate, and we don't ship numbers that failed.
Every point above is a price we observed and stored, with the time we saw it. Nothing on this page is a prediction, a rating, or a recommended bet.
