Arizona CardinalsatLos Angeles Rams

Final · Arizona Cardinals 18, Los Angeles Rams 16

Opened

-11.5

First seen Oct 6

Closed

+2.5

+14 since open

Total

33.5

Prices archived

160

23 spread · 20 total

Crossed 3 & 7 & 10 since opening0.5 points short of 31 point gap between books right now

Where the best number is

LAR+2.5FanDuel

ARI-1.5DraftKings

Over33.5DraftKings

Under35.5FanDuel

Across the 2 books we archive — which is a real limit on this, and we would rather say so than imply a survey of the market. Lines only: two books on the same number with different juice read as equal here.

What the market says

Both prices with the bookmaker's margin removed. This is the market's number, not ours — we don't forecast NFL games, and we publish why.

ARI

85.5%

LAR

14.5%

Teams the market priced at 85–90% won 191 of 213 games since 1999.Slightly better than the price claimed, by 2.5 points.

6.4%the book's margin on this game

The two prices add up to 106.4%. Everything over 100% is the book's edge, taken whichever side you pick. This one is heavier than a typical NFL moneyline.

Head to head

Jacoby Brissett · ARIQB Index componentsMatthew Stafford · LA

47 · C

Index

83 · S

39.8

Attempts / gm

43.2

5.7%

Sacked

share of dropbacks

3.1%

66.3%

QB Index · vs LA

Jacoby Brissett

ARI · 5 games, 199 attempts

index

Volumeweight 0.40

4th of 34

39.8 attempts per game · team runs 64 plays at 62% pass · sacked on 5.7% of dropbacks

Efficiencyweight 0.35

25th of 34

5.6 yards per attempt · 66.3% completions · -0.020 EPA per dropback

Matchupweight 0.25

31st of 32

LA has allowed 5.7 yards per attempt across 5 games

≈ 210 yards

The life of this number

Following the FanDuel spread · one of 2 books archived · 5 prices on record

Open

Opened -11.5 on Tue, Oct 6, 12 days before kickoff.

Move

4 reprices since, 20 points of movement in all. It closed +2.5 — the favourite changed sides. It ranged from -14.5 to +2.5 along the way, retracing 6 points of that movement.

When it moved

Half of the movement was over by Sun, Oct 18, 5 PM ET.

5% 5+ days out95% Gameday

Biggest move

9 points at once — -14.5 to -5.5 on Sun, Oct 18, 5 PM ET.

Crossed 7

-14.5 to -5.5 on Sun, Oct 18, 5 PM ET — back through 7.

Crossed 10

-14.5 to -5.5 on Sun, Oct 18, 5 PM ET — back through 10.

Crossed 3

-5.5 to +2.5 on Sun, Oct 18, 6 PM ET — back through 3.

The life of this number

Following the DraftKings total · one of 2 books archived · 6 prices on record

Open

Opened 47.5 on Wed, Jul 29, 81 days before kickoff.

Move

5 reprices since, 24 points of movement in all. It closed 33.5 — 14 points lower than the open. It ranged from 33.5 to 52.5 along the way, retracing 10 points of that movement.

When it moved

Half of the movement was over by Sun, Oct 18, 6 PM ET.

21% 5+ days out4% 5–2 days out75% Gameday

Biggest move

16 points at once — 51.5 to 35.5 on Sun, Oct 18, 6 PM ET.

Every sentence above is arithmetic on prices we recorded and the times we recorded them. Nothing here says where this number goes next.

What happened at this number

Counts from 6,967 regular-season games since 1999. No model, no forecast — this is the history of the number itself, not a claim about this game.

The spread

Favourites of 2.5 covered 244 of 504 games.

The range covers a coin flip.

They won outright in 269 of 504.

The total

Totals of 33.5 went over 18 of 35 times.

The range covers a coin flip.

How often a game ends on each margin

1,046 of 6,967

634 of 6,967

415 of 6,967

The spread, hour by hour

Home handicap. Dashed rules are the key numbers.

DraftKingsFanDuel

Hover or drag to replay

The total

Over line.

DraftKingsFanDuel

Hover or drag to replay

Player props · 75

Aaron Donald

Sacks

0.5

over

+240

FanDuel

under

—

Bam Knight

Rushing Yards

82.5market 51% over

over

-122

FanDuel

under

-108

FanDuel

Baron Browning

Sacks

0.5

over

+520

FanDuel

under

—

Blake Corum

Carries

11.5market 47% over

we project7.6/gm± 3.0 typical error

over

+100

DraftKings

under

-135

DraftKings

Blake Corum

Receiving Yards

18.5market 33% over17.1pp between books — shop it

over

+180

DraftKings

under

-118

FanDuel

Blake Corum

Receptions

1.5market 36% over4.3pp between books — shop it

over

+160

DraftKings

under

-180

FanDuel

Blake Corum

Rushing Yards

45.5market 50% over

we project36.2/gm± 15.2 typical error

over

-114

FanDuel

under

-114

FanDuel

Blake Grupe

Kicking Points

8.5market 55% over

over

-141

DraftKings

under

+109

DraftKings

Braden Fiske

Sacks

0.5

over

+230

FanDuel

under

—

Byron Young

Sacks

0.5

over

-132

FanDuel

under

—

Chad Ryland

Kicking Points

5.5market 50% over

over

-114

DraftKings

under

-114

DraftKings

Colby Parkinson

Receiving Yards

21.5market 38% over1.9pp between books — shop it

over

+145

DraftKings

under

-180

FanDuel

Colby Parkinson

Receptions

1.5market 47% over3.3pp between books — shop it

over

+114

FanDuel

under

-128

DraftKings

Davante Adams

Receiving Yards

57.5market 50% over

we project88.2/gm± 12.5 typical error

over

-112

DraftKings

under

-112

DraftKings

Davante Adams

Receptions

4.5market 46% over3.3pp between books — shop it

over

+120

FanDuel

under

-135

DraftKings

Davis Allen

Receiving Yards

0.5market 24% over21.4pp between books — shop it

over

+295

DraftKings

under

-152

FanDuel

Davis Allen

Receptions

0.5market 28% over35.4pp between books — shop it

over

+235

DraftKings

under

+140

FanDuel

Denzel Burke Defensive

Interceptions

1.5

over

+4500

DraftKings

under

—

Elijah Higgins

Receiving Yards

28.5market 27% over25.1pp between books — shop it

over

+245

DraftKings

under

-112

FanDuel

Elijah Higgins

Receptions

1.5market 52% over

over

-125

DraftKings

under

-102

DraftKings

Jacoby Brissett

Completions

24.5market 51% over

over

-120

DraftKings

under

-111

DraftKings

Jacoby Brissett

Interceptions

1.5market 42% over

over

+125

DraftKings

under

-167

DraftKings

Jacoby Brissett

Pass Attempts

38.5market 49% over

we project39.8/gm± 3.0 typical error

over

-111

DraftKings

under

-120

DraftKings

Jacoby Brissett

Passing TDs

1.5market 38% over

over

+145

DraftKings

under

-188

FanDuel

Jacoby Brissett

Passing Yards

227.5market 50% over

over

-114

FanDuel

under

-114

FanDuel

Jacoby Brissett

Rushing Yards

6.5market 50% over

we project12.4/gm± 4.9 typical error

over

-108

FanDuel

under

-115

DraftKings

Jalen Brooks

Receiving Yards

9.5market 29% over3.2pp between books — shop it

over

+225

DraftKings

under

-270

FanDuel

Jalen Brooks

Receptions

1.5market 32% over27.3pp between books — shop it

over

+195

DraftKings

under

+118

FanDuel

Jaylen Watson Defensive

Interceptions

0.5

over

+1000

DraftKings

under

—

Jeremiyah Love

Carries

12.5market 46% over

we project13.4/gm± 3.0 typical error

over

+103

DraftKings

under

-132

DraftKings

Jeremiyah Love

Receiving Yards

10.5market 51% over

over

-114

FanDuel

under

-108

DraftKings

Jeremiyah Love

Receptions

1.5market 60% over

over

-172

DraftKings

under

+133

DraftKings

Jeremiyah Love

Rushing Yards

43.5market 49% over

we project49.0/gm± 15.2 typical error

over

-110

DraftKings

under

-114

FanDuel

Jordan Burch

Sacks

0.5

over

+750

FanDuel

under

—

Josaiah Stewart

Sacks

0.5

over

+235

FanDuel

under

—

Josh Sweat

Sacks

0.5

over

+194

FanDuel

under

—

Kamren Curl Defensive

Interceptions

0.5

over

+900

DraftKings

under

—

Kamren Kinchens Defensive

Interceptions

1.5

over

+9000

DraftKings

under

—

Kendrick Bourne

Receiving Yards

47.5market 40% over7.4pp between books — shop it

we project44.5/gm± 12.5 typical error

over

+135

DraftKings

under

-132

FanDuel

Kendrick Bourne

Receptions

3.5market 56% over19.7pp between books — shop it

over

+146

FanDuel

under

+110

DraftKings

Kobie Turner

Sacks

0.5

over

+168

FanDuel

under

—

Konata Mumpfield

Receiving Yards

7.5market 45% over

we project28.0/gm± 12.5 typical error

over

+110

FanDuel

under

-146

FanDuel

Konata Mumpfield

Receptions

0.5market 61% over

over

-192

FanDuel

under

+142

FanDuel

Kyren Williams

Carries

10.5market 55% over

we project14.0/gm± 3.0 typical error

over

-147

DraftKings

under

+105

DraftKings

Kyren Williams

Receiving Yards

7.5market 51% over1.7pp between books — shop it

over

-112

FanDuel

under

-111

DraftKings

Kyren Williams

Receptions

3.5market 40% over2.2pp between books — shop it

over

+148

FanDuel

under

-175

DraftKings

Kyren Williams

Rushing Yards

33.5market 50% over

we project68.6/gm± 15.2 typical error

over

-116

DraftKings

under

-110

FanDuel

Mack Wilson Sr

Sacks

0.5

over

+550

FanDuel

under

—

Matthew Stafford

Completions

23.5market 55% over

over

-141

DraftKings

under

+105

DraftKings

Matthew Stafford

Interceptions

0.5market 34% over

over

+175

DraftKings

under

-244

DraftKings

Matthew Stafford

Pass Attempts

35.5market 51% over

we project43.2/gm± 3.0 typical error

over

-125

DraftKings

under

-111

DraftKings

Matthew Stafford

Passing TDs

2.5market 41% over5.1pp between books — shop it

over

+130

DraftKings

under

-138

FanDuel

Matthew Stafford

Passing Yards

262.5market 50% over

over

-114

FanDuel

under

-114

FanDuel

Matthew Stafford

Rushing Yards

-0.5market 78% over16.0pp between books — shop it

we project4.2/gm± 4.9 typical error

over

-200

FanDuel

under

+320

DraftKings

Max Melton Defensive

Interceptions

0.5

over

+1100

DraftKings

under

—

Michael Wilson

Receiving Yards

58.5market 50% over

we project57.6/gm± 12.5 typical error

over

-113

FanDuel

under

-113

FanDuel

Michael Wilson

Receptions

5.5market 44% over3.8pp between books — shop it

over

+110

DraftKings

under

-125

FanDuel

Nate Landman

Sacks

0.5

over

+450

FanDuel

under

—

Poona Ford

Sacks

0.5

over

+490

FanDuel

under

—

Puka Nacua

Receiving Yards

98.5market 50% over

we project112.3/gm± 12.5 typical error

over

-113

FanDuel

under

-111

DraftKings

Puka Nacua

Receptions

7.5market 47% over6.5pp between books — shop it

over

+100

DraftKings

under

-102

FanDuel

Puka Nacua

Rushing Yards

1.5market 51% over2.3pp between books — shop it

over

-114

FanDuel

under

-111

DraftKings

Quentin Lake Defensive

Interceptions

0.5

over

+750

DraftKings

under

—

Trent McDuffie Defensive

Interceptions

0.5

over

+900

DraftKings

under

—

Trey McBride

Receiving Yards

60.5market 50% over2.6pp between books — shop it

we project61.6/gm± 12.5 typical error

over

-108

FanDuel

under

-116

DraftKings

Trey McBride

Receptions

7.5market 53% over8.9pp between books — shop it

over

+106

FanDuel

under

+100

DraftKings

Tyler Allgeier

Carries

14.5market 45% over

we project7.0/gm± 3.0 typical error

over

+105

DraftKings

under

-147

DraftKings

Tyler Allgeier

Receiving Yards

13.5market 51% over

over

-114

FanDuel

under

-111

DraftKings

Tyler Allgeier

Receptions

2.5market 50% over

over

-114

FanDuel

under

-114

FanDuel

Tyler Allgeier

Rushing Yards

47.5market 50% over

we project23.8/gm± 15.2 typical error

over

-114

FanDuel

under

-111

DraftKings

Tyler Higbee

Receiving Yards

30.5market 50% over

we project56.0/gm± 12.5 typical error

over

-114

FanDuel

under

-114

FanDuel

Tyler Higbee

Receptions

2.5market 51% over4.1pp between books — shop it

over

-125

DraftKings

under

+112

FanDuel

Walter Nolen III

Sacks

0.5

over

+470

FanDuel

under

—

Zaven Collins

Sacks

0.5

over

+450

FanDuel

under

—

Zonovan Knight

Rushing Yards

82.5market 49% over

over

-111

DraftKings

under

-125

DraftKings

Every number here is a price we observed or arithmetic on prices we observed. “Market %” is the book's own two-sided price with the vig removed — not a forecast. We publish no prop projection: the model failed its pre-registered calibration gate on 2026-07-31, and a number that failed its own test doesn't go on the site.

Every point above is a price we observed and stored, with the time we saw it. Nothing on this page is a prediction, a rating, or a recommended bet.