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SALCI History

Model accuracy — SALCI score vs actual K totals · all-time

OverviewLiveModel Accuracy

4,886 starts on record · 4,884 settled · 2 pending · 202 dates covered · Mar 25 → Oct 19

2026 SeasonAll-time

How close SALCI's projected strikeouts land vs. actual — this is model prediction accuracy across every tracked starter, not betting results. For the bets we actually post, see Overview.

Model Calibration · all tracked starters

79%

Floor Hit Rate

3879/4884 starters

46%

Proj Hit Rate

2263/4884 starters

-0.2K

Avg Delta

actual − projected

49

Avg SALCI

4886 starts

Last 30d: 72% floor · 42% proj · -0.3K · 304 starts

Daily Accuracy

How often actual Ks beat the Floor and Projected lines, per day

Sun, Oct 18

50%floor50%proj2 starts
70B+

Drew Rasmussen

Floor 5K ✓·Proj 5.5K ✓·Line 5.5K

6K

+0.5

57B

Parker Messick

Floor 4K ✗·Proj 5.5K ✗·Line 4.5K

3K

-2.5

Updated 1h 4m ago