Zebby Matthews
MIN · RHP
MIN @ CWS 2026-09-04T23:40:00Z
Below Average
Below Average
SALCI strikeout confidence
CSW 24.8%Whiff 18.5%Stuff+ 109
2026 Season· full year
G 19GS 19IP 112.0ERA 4.58WHIP 1.26K 93K/9 7.5
Strikeout Projection
K Projection
364.9
No live book line foundEdge calc requires a real book line
Score Breakdown
Arsenal
852%
Matchup
6830%
Workload
4510%
Location
418%
Stuff+109
Location+80
CSW%24.8%
Wtd Whiff%18.5%
K-Line Probability
| K Target | Probability | Book |
|---|---|---|
| 3+ Ks | 87.0% | no line |
| 4+ Ks | 72.6% | no line |
| 5+ Ks | 54.9% | no line |
| 6+ Ks | 37.4% | no line |
λ = 4.94 expected Ks · Poisson model · floor & ceiling from Monte Carlo · tap a posted price to log it at 1u