DJ Herz
WSH · LHP
NYM @ WSH 2026-09-27T17:05:00Z
Average
Average
SALCI strikeout confidence
CSW 25.4%Whiff 21.7%Stuff+ 107
2026 Season· full year
G 1GS 1IP 4.0ERA 9.00WHIP 1.75K 4K/9 9.0
Form metrics above use only 1 game from the last 30 days — treat with caution.
Strikeout Projection
K Projection
253.9
No live book line foundEdge calc requires a real book line
Score Breakdown
Arsenal
1852%
Matchup
6430%
Workload
3210%
Location
418%
Stuff+107
Location+81
CSW%25.4%
Wtd Whiff%21.7%
K-Line Probability
| K Target | Probability | Book |
|---|---|---|
| 2+ Ks | 89.7% | no line |
| 3+ Ks | 73.9% | no line |
| 4+ Ks | 53.7% | no line |
| 5+ Ks | 34.2% | no line |
λ = 3.85 expected Ks · Poisson model · floor & ceiling from Monte Carlo · tap a posted price to log it at 1u