Matt Wilkinson
SF · LHP
SF @ NYM 2026-09-04T23:10:00Z
Fade
Fade
SALCI strikeout confidence
CSW 22.7%Whiff 13.8%Stuff+ 85
2026 Season· full year
G 3GS 3IP 11.7ERA 4.63WHIP 1.11K 6K/9 4.6
Strikeout Projection
K Projection
132.3
No live book line foundEdge calc requires a real book line
Score Breakdown
Arsenal
652%
Matchup
6630%
Workload
3210%
Location
418%
Stuff+85
Location+80
CSW%22.7%
Wtd Whiff%13.8%
K-Line Probability
| K Target | Probability | Book |
|---|---|---|
| 1+ Ks | 89.5% | no line |
| 2+ Ks | 65.7% | no line |
| 3+ Ks | 39.1% | no line |
| 4+ Ks | 19.1% | no line |
λ = 2.25 expected Ks · Poisson model · floor & ceiling from Monte Carlo · tap a posted price to log it at 1u