Jared Jones
PIT · RHP
LAA @ PIT 2026-09-04T22:45:00Z
Elite Ace
Elite Ace
SALCI strikeout confidence
CSW 27.5%Whiff 30.6%Stuff+ 130
2026 Season· full year
G 16GS 16IP 72.7ERA 4.83WHIP 1.28K 83K/9 10.3
Strikeout Projection
K Projection
596.1
No live book line foundEdge calc requires a real book line
Score Breakdown
Arsenal
4852%
Matchup
7030%
Workload
3710%
Location
428%
Stuff+130
Location+85
CSW%27.5%
Wtd Whiff%30.6%
K-Line Probability
| K Target | Probability | Book |
|---|---|---|
| 5+ Ks | 72.4% | no line |
| 6+ Ks | 56.5% | no line |
| 7+ Ks | 40.5% | no line |
| 8+ Ks | 26.6% | no line |
λ = 6.07 expected Ks · Poisson model · floor & ceiling from Monte Carlo · tap a posted price to log it at 1u