Shane Baz
BAL · RHP
BOS @ BAL 2026-09-04T23:05:00Z
Below Average
Below Average
SALCI strikeout confidence
CSW 26.2%Whiff 25.2%Stuff+ 120
2026 Season· full year
G 27GS 27IP 157.0ERA 4.01WHIP 1.35K 139K/9 8.0
Strikeout Projection
K Projection
364.7
No live book line foundEdge calc requires a real book line
Score Breakdown
Arsenal
3052%
Matchup
6130%
Workload
4510%
Location
418%
Stuff+120
Location+83
CSW%26.2%
Wtd Whiff%25.2%
K-Line Probability
| K Target | Probability | Book |
|---|---|---|
| 3+ Ks | 85.2% | no line |
| 4+ Ks | 69.7% | no line |
| 5+ Ks | 51.3% | no line |
| 6+ Ks | 33.9% | no line |
λ = 4.74 expected Ks · Poisson model · floor & ceiling from Monte Carlo · tap a posted price to log it at 1u