Max Fried
NYY · LHP
NYY @ SD 2026-09-05T01:40:00Z
Strong K Arm
Strong K Arm
SALCI strikeout confidence
CSW 26.6%Whiff 23.4%Stuff+ 111
2026 Season· full year
G 16GS 16IP 90.0ERA 2.80WHIP 1.00K 83K/9 8.3
Strikeout Projection
K Projection
475.3
No live book line foundEdge calc requires a real book line
Score Breakdown
Arsenal
2452%
Matchup
6330%
Workload
3710%
Location
428%
Stuff+111
Location+86
CSW%26.6%
Wtd Whiff%23.4%
K-Line Probability
| K Target | Probability | Book |
|---|---|---|
| 4+ Ks | 77.7% | no line |
| 5+ Ks | 61.4% | no line |
| 6+ Ks | 44.0% | no line |
| 7+ Ks | 28.6% | no line |
λ = 5.32 expected Ks · Poisson model · floor & ceiling from Monte Carlo · tap a posted price to log it at 1u