Chris Sale
ATL · LHP
ATL @ PHI 2026-09-04T22:40:00Z
Elite Ace
Elite Ace
SALCI strikeout confidence
CSW 31.2%Whiff 25.0%Stuff+ 119
2026 Season· full year
G 24GS 24IP 144.0ERA 2.06WHIP 1.00K 177K/9 11.1
Strikeout Projection
K Projection
7127.5
No live book line foundEdge calc requires a real book line
Score Breakdown
Arsenal
2952%
Matchup
6430%
Workload
4910%
Location
468%
Stuff+119
Location+95
CSW%31.2%
Wtd Whiff%25.0%
K-Line Probability
| K Target | Probability | Book |
|---|---|---|
| 7+ Ks | 61.6% | no line |
| 8+ Ks | 46.9% | no line |
| 9+ Ks | 33.3% | no line |
| 10+ Ks | 21.9% | no line |
λ = 7.46 expected Ks · Poisson model · floor & ceiling from Monte Carlo · tap a posted price to log it at 1u